Scouting Report
Logan Couture holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Mercer wins 45.1% vs left-shot opponents — Couture shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mercer 45.3% vs Couture 47.6% (-5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mercer 58.6%
Defensive zone
Couture 76.7%
Neutral zone
Couture 55.6%
Result
Logan Couture favored at 64.9%
35.1%
64.9%
Mercer
Couture
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Mercer
Couture
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mercer
1
0
Mercer
Couture
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Mercer
Couture
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mercer
Couture
Edge
Even Strength
43.2% (148)
49.2% (1,083)
-6.0%
Power Play
40.0% (10)
56.7% (60)
-16.7%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (7)
35.4% (206)
-6.8%
On power play, Couture has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couture shoots left. Mercer is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (122).
Mercer shoots right. Couture is 45.3% vs right-shot opponents (492).
Home / Away
Mercer
Couture
Home
39.0% (82)
49.6% (713)
Away
45.8% (83)
45.0% (636)
By Period
Mercer
Couture
P1
45.5%
47.2%
P2
44.0%
45.0%
P3
36.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
36.6%
42.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%▼
37.5%
42.4%
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2023 | 2 | 09:25 | Defensive | Dawson Mercer |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 3 | 08:19 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 1 | 00:28 | Offensive | Dawson Mercer |