Scouting Report
Logan Couture holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Mercer wins 45.8% vs left-shot opponents — Couture shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mercer 46.3% vs Couture 49.0% (-3.0%)
Offensive zone
Mercer 64.7%
Defensive zone
Couture 68.1%
Neutral zone
Mercer 58.4%
Result
Dawson Mercer favored at 51.7%
51.7%
48.3%
Mercer
Couture
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mercer
Couture
Edge
Even Strength
43.6% (241)
44.9% (78)
-1.3%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
57.1% (7)
-7.1%
Penalty Kill
70.0% (10)
63.6% (11)
+6.4%
On power play, Couture has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couture shoots left. Mercer is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (201).
Mercer shoots right. Couture is 42.3% vs right-shot opponents (26).
Home / Away
Mercer
Couture
Home
41.7% (120)
45.2% (62)
Away
47.6% (145)
52.9% (34)
By Period
Mercer
Couture
P1
44.6%
55.2%
P2
45.4%
44.4%
P3
45.2%
50.0%
OT
0.0%
16.7%
Final 5 min
48.6%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%▼
37.5%
44.9%
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
47.9%