Scouting Report
Logan Couture holds a +9.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Mercer on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Mercer wins 39.0% vs left-shot opponents — Couture shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mercer 39.9% vs Couture 48.3% (-9.1%)
H2H factor
Mercer leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Couture 58.8%
Defensive zone
Couture 87.6%
Neutral zone
Couture 70.7%
Result
Logan Couture favored at 75.6%
24.4%
75.6%
Mercer
Couture
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Mercer
Couture
Last 10: Mercer 6-4 Couture
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mercer
3
0
Mercer
Couture
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couture
1
4
Mercer
Couture
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Mercer
2
0
Mercer
Couture
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mercer
Couture
Edge
Even Strength
39.1% (1,412)
48.8% (8,919)
-9.7%
Power Play
41.1% (90)
54.6% (624)
-13.5%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (45)
39.8% (992)
+0.2%
On power play, Couture has a +13.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couture shoots left. Mercer is 39.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,099).
Mercer shoots right. Couture is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (3,626).
Home / Away
Mercer
Couture
Home
40.0% (755)
49.4% (5,418)
Away
38.5% (792)
47.1% (5,135)
By Period
Mercer
Couture
P1
38.2%
47.9%
P2
39.2%
47.9%
P3
41.1%
49.2%
OT
0.0%
48.0%
Final 5 min
39.6%
45.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
39.2%
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2023 | 2 | 09:25 | Defensive | Dawson Mercer |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 3 | 08:19 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 1 | 00:28 | Offensive | Dawson Mercer |
| Nov 30, 2021 | 3 | 09:12 | Neutral | Dawson Mercer |
| Nov 30, 2021 | 3 | 06:26 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Nov 30, 2021 | 2 | 13:01 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Nov 30, 2021 | 1 | 12:48 | Offensive | Dawson Mercer |
| Nov 30, 2021 | 1 | 06:05 | Offensive | Dawson Mercer |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 2 | 15:49 | Neutral | Dawson Mercer |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 2 | 15:39 | Defensive | Logan Couture |