Scouting Report
Mark Scheifele holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Mercer wins 34.9% vs right-shot opponents — Scheifele shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mercer 45.3% vs Scheifele 48.1% (-5.6%)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 59.0%
Defensive zone
Mercer 59.6%
Neutral zone
Scheifele 54.0%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 51.1%
48.9%
51.1%
Mercer
Scheifele
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mercer
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
43.2% (148)
47.8% (960)
-4.6%
Power Play
40.0% (10)
47.0% (219)
-7.0%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (7)
60.7% (28)
-32.1%
On penalty kill, Scheifele has a +32.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. Mercer is 34.9% vs right-shot opponents (43).
Mercer shoots right. Scheifele is 44.9% vs right-shot opponents (374).
Home / Away
Mercer
Scheifele
Home
39.0% (82)
50.7% (611)
Away
45.8% (83)
45.1% (596)
By Period
Mercer
Scheifele
P1
45.5%
51.4%
P2
44.0%
47.3%
P3
36.7%
45.0%
Final 5 min
36.6%
44.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
42.4%
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
48.0%