Scouting Report
Mark Scheifele holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Mercer wins 42.2% vs right-shot opponents — Scheifele shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mercer 46.3% vs Scheifele 48.3% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 65.4%
Defensive zone
Scheifele 56.6%
Neutral zone
Scheifele 52.8%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 65.4%
34.6%
65.4%
Mercer
Scheifele
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Mercer
Scheifele
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mercer
1
0
Mercer
Scheifele
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mercer
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
43.6% (241)
48.1% (1,045)
-4.5%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
48.6% (181)
+1.4%
Penalty Kill
70.0% (10)
44.4% (27)
+25.6%
On penalty kill, Mercer has a +25.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. Mercer is 42.2% vs right-shot opponents (64).
Mercer shoots right. Scheifele is 44.6% vs right-shot opponents (361).
Home / Away
Mercer
Scheifele
Home
41.7% (120)
52.7% (630)
Away
47.6% (145)
43.5% (623)
By Period
Mercer
Scheifele
P1
44.6%
50.3%
P2
45.4%
46.8%
P3
45.2%
47.5%
OT
0.0%
36.4%
Final 5 min
48.6%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
44.9%
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2023 | 1 | 12:40 | Offensive | Dawson Mercer |