Dawson Mercer vs Michael Rasmussen
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Michael Rasmussen holds a +14.7% FO% edge overall. Mercer wins 34.6% vs left-shot opponents — Rasmussen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mercer 37.5% vs Rasmussen 50.1% (-14.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mercer 70.0%
Defensive zone
Rasmussen 58.8%
Neutral zone
Mercer 64.2%
Result
Dawson Mercer favored at 59.9%
59.9%
40.1%
Mercer
Rasmussen
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Mercer
Rasmussen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mercer
1
0
Mercer
Rasmussen
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rasmussen
0
1
Mercer
Rasmussen
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rasmussen
0
2
Mercer
Rasmussen
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mercer
Rasmussen
Edge
Even Strength
35.4% (548)
50.1% (681)
-14.7%
Power Play
42.9% (35)
63.5% (63)
-20.6%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (7)
38.7% (75)
-38.7%
On penalty kill, Rasmussen has a +38.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rasmussen shoots left. Mercer is 34.6% vs left-shot opponents (407).
Mercer shoots right. Rasmussen is 54.8% vs right-shot opponents (332).
Home / Away
Mercer
Rasmussen
Home
39.9% (283)
50.6% (423)
Away
31.3% (307)
49.5% (396)
By Period
Mercer
Rasmussen
P1
37.7%
50.4%
P2
32.1%
53.8%
P3
37.7%
46.5%
OT
0.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
33.3%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
35.4%
Rasmussen
32.0%▼
43.0%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2022 | 2 | 15:57 | Defensive | Michael Rasmussen |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 1 | 12:57 | Neutral | Michael Rasmussen |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 3 | 04:43 | Offensive | Dawson Mercer |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 2 | 19:06 | Neutral | Michael Rasmussen |