Dawson Mercer vs Michael Rasmussen
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Michael Rasmussen holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Rasmussen on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Mercer wins 45.1% vs left-shot opponents — Rasmussen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mercer 45.3% vs Rasmussen 50.8% (-8.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mercer 78.7%
Defensive zone
Mercer 63.1%
Neutral zone
Mercer 70.0%
Result
Dawson Mercer favored at 68.3%
68.3%
31.7%
Mercer
Rasmussen
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Mercer
Rasmussen
Last 6: Mercer 1-5 Rasmussen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rasmussen
0
2
Mercer
Rasmussen
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rasmussen
1
3
Mercer
Rasmussen
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mercer
Rasmussen
Edge
Even Strength
43.2% (148)
50.8% (333)
-7.6%
Power Play
40.0% (10)
60.7% (28)
-20.7%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (7)
45.9% (37)
-17.3%
On power play, Rasmussen has a +20.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rasmussen shoots left. Mercer is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (122).
Mercer shoots right. Rasmussen is 55.3% vs right-shot opponents (152).
Home / Away
Mercer
Rasmussen
Home
39.0% (82)
51.4% (212)
Away
45.8% (83)
50.5% (186)
By Period
Mercer
Rasmussen
P1
45.5%
54.5%
P2
44.0%
43.4%
P3
36.7%
54.2%
Final 5 min
36.6%
47.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
42.4%
Rasmussen
32.0%▼
43.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2022 | 3 | 08:10 | Offensive | Michael Rasmussen |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 2 | 15:48 | Defensive | Dawson Mercer |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 2 | 08:18 | Defensive | Michael Rasmussen |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 1 | 10:47 | Defensive | Michael Rasmussen |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 3 | 06:08 | Defensive | Michael Rasmussen |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 1 | 14:27 | Offensive | Michael Rasmussen |