Dawson Mercer vs Michael Rasmussen
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Michael Rasmussen holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall. Mercer wins 36.3% vs left-shot opponents — Rasmussen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mercer 41.8% vs Rasmussen 47.8% (-8.1%)
Offensive zone
Mercer 62.9%
Defensive zone
Rasmussen 68.7%
Neutral zone
Mercer 50.6%
Result
Michael Rasmussen favored at 51.7%
48.3%
51.7%
Mercer
Rasmussen
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mercer
Rasmussen
Edge
Even Strength
38.8% (263)
46.8% (248)
-8.0%
Power Play
35.3% (17)
62.5% (8)
-27.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (10)
43.8% (16)
+6.2%
On power play, Rasmussen has a +27.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rasmussen shoots left. Mercer is 36.3% vs left-shot opponents (190).
Mercer shoots right. Rasmussen is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (104).
Home / Away
Mercer
Rasmussen
Home
34.7% (144)
50.0% (98)
Away
43.2% (146)
45.4% (174)
By Period
Mercer
Rasmussen
P1
32.7%
40.2%
P2
42.7%
55.8%
P3
42.2%
43.0%
Final 5 min
39.2%
47.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
39.0%
Rasmussen
32.0%▼
43.0%
47.1%