Dawson Mercer vs Mikael Granlund

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Mikael Granlund holds a +8.8% FO% edge overall. Mercer wins 35.8% vs left-shot opponents — Granlund shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Mercer 42.2% vs Granlund 48.5% (-8.8%)
Offensive zone Mercer 57.0%
Defensive zone Granlund 57.3%
Neutral zone Granlund 54.7%
Result Mikael Granlund favored at 51.6%
48.4%
51.6%
Mercer Granlund
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded

Situation Matchup

Situation
Mercer
Granlund
Edge
Even Strength
39.0% (254)
50.0% (356)
-11.0%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
51.9% (79)
-23.3%
Penalty Kill
55.6% (9)
29.4% (51)
+26.2%
On penalty kill, Mercer has a +26.2% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Granlund shoots left. Mercer is 35.8% vs left-shot opponents (176).
Mercer shoots right. Granlund is 48.8% vs right-shot opponents (166).
Home / Away
Mercer
Granlund
Home
34.1% (126)
57.0% (179)
Away
43.8% (144)
43.0% (307)
By Period
Mercer
Granlund
P1
31.3%
53.9%
P2
44.0%
48.2%
P3
43.7%
42.4%
Final 5 min
35.4%
53.6%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%
37.5%
39.3%
Granlund
56.0%
43.0%
48.1%