Scouting Report
Mikael Granlund holds a +9.1% FO% edge overall. Mercer wins 40.2% vs left-shot opponents — Granlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mercer 43.3% vs Granlund 49.6% (-9.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mercer 59.2%
Defensive zone
Granlund 70.0%
Neutral zone
Mercer 51.1%
Result
Mikael Granlund favored at 59.4%
40.6%
59.4%
Mercer
Granlund
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Mercer
Granlund
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Granlund
0
1
Mercer
Granlund
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Mercer
1
0
Mercer
Granlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mercer
Granlund
Edge
Even Strength
41.0% (212)
49.5% (588)
-8.5%
Power Play
35.7% (14)
60.5% (43)
-24.8%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (11)
45.2% (93)
-8.8%
On power play, Granlund has a +24.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Granlund shoots left. Mercer is 40.2% vs left-shot opponents (179).
Mercer shoots right. Granlund is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (242).
Home / Away
Mercer
Granlund
Home
45.2% (126)
54.8% (305)
Away
35.1% (111)
45.8% (419)
By Period
Mercer
Granlund
P1
34.5%
43.8%
P2
43.4%
51.2%
P3
45.8%
53.9%
OT
0.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
47.9%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
40.5%
Granlund
52.0%▲
48.5%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2025 | 2 | 15:35 | Neutral | Dawson Mercer |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 2 | 10:27 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |