Scouting Report
Mikael Granlund holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Mercer wins 45.8% vs left-shot opponents — Granlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mercer 46.3% vs Granlund 47.0% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mercer 57.8%
Defensive zone
Granlund 79.4%
Neutral zone
Granlund 53.1%
Result
Mikael Granlund favored at 67.0%
33.0%
67.0%
Mercer
Granlund
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Mercer
Granlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mercer
1
0
Mercer
Granlund
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Mercer
Granlund
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mercer
Granlund
Edge
Even Strength
43.6% (241)
46.7% (885)
-3.1%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
44.9% (69)
+5.1%
Penalty Kill
70.0% (10)
49.0% (98)
+21.0%
On penalty kill, Mercer has a +21.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Granlund shoots left. Mercer is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (201).
Mercer shoots right. Granlund is 50.2% vs right-shot opponents (307).
Home / Away
Mercer
Granlund
Home
41.7% (120)
51.1% (495)
Away
47.6% (145)
42.9% (557)
By Period
Mercer
Granlund
P1
44.6%
49.9%
P2
45.4%
46.4%
P3
45.2%
44.3%
OT
0.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
48.6%
42.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
44.9%
Granlund
52.0%▲
48.5%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 2023 | 3 | 18:03 | Offensive | Dawson Mercer |
| Dec 1, 2023 | 3 | 04:39 | Defensive | Dawson Mercer |
| Dec 1, 2023 | 1 | 12:47 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |