Dawson Mercer vs Mikael Granlund
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mikael Granlund holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Mercer on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Mercer wins 39.0% vs left-shot opponents — Granlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mercer 39.9% vs Granlund 48.5% (-9.3%)
H2H factor
Mercer leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Granlund 63.0%
Defensive zone
Granlund 77.9%
Neutral zone
Granlund 61.5%
Result
Mikael Granlund favored at 70.9%
29.1%
70.9%
Mercer
Granlund
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
6
(13 meetings)
7
6
Mercer
Granlund
Last 10: Mercer 6-4 Granlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mercer
5
0
Mercer
Granlund
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Granlund
1
6
Mercer
Granlund
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Mercer
1
0
Mercer
Granlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mercer
Granlund
Edge
Even Strength
39.1% (1,412)
48.5% (6,718)
-9.4%
Power Play
41.1% (90)
52.7% (748)
-11.6%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (45)
43.6% (635)
-3.6%
On power play, Granlund has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Granlund shoots left. Mercer is 39.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,099).
Mercer shoots right. Granlund is 49.2% vs right-shot opponents (2,959).
Home / Away
Mercer
Granlund
Home
40.0% (755)
50.8% (3,884)
Away
38.5% (792)
46.3% (4,217)
By Period
Mercer
Granlund
P1
38.2%
48.7%
P2
39.2%
48.7%
P3
41.1%
48.2%
OT
0.0%
44.1%
Final 5 min
39.6%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
39.2%
Granlund
52.0%▲
48.5%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2025 | 2 | 15:35 | Neutral | Dawson Mercer |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 2 | 10:27 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Dec 1, 2023 | 3 | 18:03 | Offensive | Dawson Mercer |
| Dec 1, 2023 | 3 | 04:39 | Defensive | Dawson Mercer |
| Dec 1, 2023 | 1 | 12:47 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Dec 10, 2021 | 2 | 15:49 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Dec 10, 2021 | 2 | 08:00 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Dec 10, 2021 | 1 | 18:05 | Offensive | Dawson Mercer |
| Dec 10, 2021 | 1 | 09:01 | Offensive | Dawson Mercer |
| Dec 10, 2021 | 1 | 03:26 | Offensive | Dawson Mercer |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 3 | 16:32 | Offensive | Dawson Mercer |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 3 | 05:02 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 2 | 16:22 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |