Scouting Report
Dawson Mercer holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Mercer wins 40.2% vs left-shot opponents — Ostlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mercer 43.3% vs Ostlund 47.5% (+4.1%)
Offensive zone
Mercer 54.9%
Defensive zone
Mercer 61.4%
Neutral zone
Mercer 50.8%
Result
Dawson Mercer favored at 55.7%
55.7%
44.3%
Mercer
Ostlund
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mercer
Ostlund
Edge
Even Strength
41.0% (212)
36.4% (22)
+4.6%
On even strength, Mercer has a +4.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ostlund shoots left. Mercer is 40.2% vs left-shot opponents (179).
Mercer shoots right. Ostlund is 16.7% vs right-shot opponents (6).
Home / Away
Mercer
Ostlund
Home
45.2% (126)
33.3% (12)
Away
35.1% (111)
40.0% (10)
By Period
Mercer
Ostlund
P1
34.5%
42.9%
P2
43.4%
25.0%
P3
45.8%
42.9%
Final 5 min
47.9%
25.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
40.5%
Ostlund
46.0%▲
34.5%
36.4%