Dawson Mercer vs Patrice Bergeron
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +26.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Mercer wins 37.2% vs right-shot opponents — Bergeron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mercer 37.5% vs Bergeron 61.2% (-26.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mercer 73.5%
Defensive zone
Mercer 70.0%
Neutral zone
Mercer 82.0%
Result
Dawson Mercer favored at 71.4%
71.4%
28.6%
Mercer
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Mercer
Bergeron
Last 5: Mercer 1-4 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
0
2
Mercer
Bergeron
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
1
2
Mercer
Bergeron
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mercer
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
35.4% (548)
63.8% (1,102)
-28.4%
Power Play
42.9% (35)
65.3% (288)
-22.4%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (7)
47.6% (210)
-47.6%
On penalty kill, Bergeron has a +47.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Mercer is 37.2% vs right-shot opponents (183).
Mercer shoots right. Bergeron is 59.1% vs right-shot opponents (474).
Home / Away
Mercer
Bergeron
Home
39.9% (283)
62.5% (882)
Away
31.3% (307)
61.3% (718)
By Period
Mercer
Bergeron
P1
37.7%
62.5%
P2
32.1%
62.7%
P3
37.7%
60.6%
OT
0.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
33.3%
61.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%▼
37.5%
35.4%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
61.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2022 | 3 | 11:43 | Defensive | Dawson Mercer |
| Jan 4, 2022 | 3 | 03:45 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 4, 2022 | 1 | 18:24 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 4, 2022 | 1 | 16:32 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 13, 2021 | 2 | 13:50 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |