Dawson Mercer vs Patrice Bergeron
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +18.7% FO% edge overall. Mercer wins 34.9% vs right-shot opponents — Bergeron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mercer 45.3% vs Bergeron 60.5% (-18.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mercer 77.8%
Defensive zone
Mercer 73.0%
Neutral zone
Mercer 73.5%
Result
Dawson Mercer favored at 73.3%
73.3%
26.7%
Mercer
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Mercer
Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
0
1
Mercer
Bergeron
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bergeron
0
1
Mercer
Bergeron
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mercer
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
43.2% (148)
62.5% (1,109)
-19.3%
Power Play
40.0% (10)
62.2% (352)
-22.2%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (7)
53.5% (245)
-24.9%
On penalty kill, Bergeron has a +24.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Mercer is 34.9% vs right-shot opponents (43).
Mercer shoots right. Bergeron is 56.1% vs right-shot opponents (528).
Home / Away
Mercer
Bergeron
Home
39.0% (82)
61.9% (917)
Away
45.8% (83)
60.2% (789)
By Period
Mercer
Bergeron
P1
45.5%
60.8%
P2
44.0%
60.3%
P3
36.7%
63.0%
Final 5 min
36.6%
58.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
42.4%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
61.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2023 | 3 | 02:42 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 1 | 01:36 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |