Dawson Mercer vs Patrice Bergeron
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +20.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Mercer wins 39.7% vs right-shot opponents — Bergeron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mercer 39.9% vs Bergeron 59.2% (-20.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mercer 90.9%
Defensive zone
Mercer 82.7%
Neutral zone
Mercer 90.8%
Result
Dawson Mercer favored at 86.2%
86.2%
13.8%
Mercer
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Mercer
Bergeron
Last 7: Mercer 1-6 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
0
2
Mercer
Bergeron
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
1
3
Mercer
Bergeron
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bergeron
0
1
Mercer
Bergeron
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mercer
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
39.1% (1,412)
60.1% (13,938)
-21.0%
Power Play
41.1% (90)
60.8% (3,213)
-19.7%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (45)
53.0% (2,776)
-13.0%
On even strength, Bergeron has a +21.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Mercer is 39.7% vs right-shot opponents (448).
Mercer shoots right. Bergeron is 56.7% vs right-shot opponents (6,685).
Home / Away
Mercer
Bergeron
Home
40.0% (755)
61.2% (10,028)
Away
38.5% (792)
57.3% (9,930)
By Period
Mercer
Bergeron
P1
38.2%
59.3%
P2
39.2%
60.0%
P3
41.1%
58.6%
OT
0.0%
57.9%
Final 5 min
39.6%
58.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
39.2%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
59.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2023 | 3 | 02:42 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 1 | 01:36 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 4, 2022 | 3 | 11:43 | Defensive | Dawson Mercer |
| Jan 4, 2022 | 3 | 03:45 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 4, 2022 | 1 | 18:24 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 4, 2022 | 1 | 16:32 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 13, 2021 | 2 | 13:50 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |