Scouting Report
Dawson Mercer holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Mercer wins 45.1% vs left-shot opponents — Greig shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mercer 45.3% vs Greig 44.5% (+3.0%)
Offensive zone
Mercer 58.1%
Defensive zone
Greig 52.2%
Neutral zone
Mercer 52.9%
Result
Dawson Mercer favored at 52.9%
52.9%
47.1%
Mercer
Greig
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mercer
Greig
Edge
Even Strength
43.2% (148)
38.8% (103)
+4.4%
Power Play
40.0% (10)
60.0% (5)
-20.0%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (7)
0.0% (1)
+28.6%
On penalty kill, Mercer has a +28.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Greig shoots left. Mercer is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (122).
Mercer shoots right. Greig is 37.5% vs right-shot opponents (48).
Home / Away
Mercer
Greig
Home
39.0% (82)
37.7% (53)
Away
45.8% (83)
41.1% (56)
By Period
Mercer
Greig
P1
45.5%
41.7%
P2
44.0%
39.3%
P3
36.7%
37.8%
Final 5 min
36.6%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
42.4%
Greig
52.0%▲
48.5%
39.4%