Scouting Report
Yanni Gourde holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Mercer wins 45.1% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mercer 45.3% vs Gourde 49.7% (-7.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gourde 55.5%
Defensive zone
Gourde 73.4%
Neutral zone
Gourde 66.6%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 55.5%
44.5%
55.5%
Mercer
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Mercer
Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mercer
1
0
Mercer
Gourde
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mercer
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
43.2% (148)
49.1% (847)
-5.9%
Power Play
40.0% (10)
79.5% (44)
-39.5%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (7)
39.5% (81)
-10.9%
On power play, Gourde has a +39.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Mercer is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (122).
Mercer shoots right. Gourde is 48.9% vs right-shot opponents (321).
Home / Away
Mercer
Gourde
Home
39.0% (82)
50.1% (491)
Away
45.8% (83)
49.3% (481)
By Period
Mercer
Gourde
P1
45.5%
54.7%
P2
44.0%
45.0%
P3
36.7%
49.4%
Final 5 min
36.6%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
42.4%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2023 | 1 | 18:45 | Offensive | Dawson Mercer |