Scouting Report
Yanni Gourde holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Mercer wins 45.8% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mercer 46.3% vs Gourde 48.0% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mercer 76.6%
Defensive zone
Gourde 55.4%
Neutral zone
Mercer 63.8%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 55.4%
44.6%
55.4%
Mercer
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Mercer
Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
2
Mercer
Gourde
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mercer
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
43.6% (241)
48.0% (914)
-4.4%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
54.2% (48)
-4.2%
Penalty Kill
70.0% (10)
43.9% (123)
+26.1%
On penalty kill, Mercer has a +26.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Mercer is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (201).
Mercer shoots right. Gourde is 47.7% vs right-shot opponents (321).
Home / Away
Mercer
Gourde
Home
41.7% (120)
50.2% (512)
Away
47.6% (145)
45.7% (573)
By Period
Mercer
Gourde
P1
44.6%
50.0%
P2
45.4%
45.3%
P3
45.2%
48.6%
OT
0.0%
20.0%
Final 5 min
48.6%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
44.9%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2023 | 2 | 06:16 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 1 | 14:28 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |