Scouting Report
Dawson Mercer holds a +12.7% FO% edge overall. Mercer wins 34.6% vs left-shot opponents — Sanford shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mercer 37.5% vs Sanford 45.1% (+12.7%)
Offensive zone
Sanford 51.8%
Defensive zone
Mercer 51.4%
Neutral zone
Mercer 58.3%
Result
Dawson Mercer favored at 52.7%
52.7%
47.3%
Mercer
Sanford
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mercer
Sanford
Edge
Even Strength
35.4% (548)
27.8% (18)
+7.6%
Power Play
42.9% (35)
0.0% (4)
+42.9%
On power play, Mercer has a +42.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sanford shoots left. Mercer is 34.6% vs left-shot opponents (407).
Mercer shoots right. Sanford is 21.4% vs right-shot opponents (14).
Home / Away
Mercer
Sanford
Home
39.9% (283)
30.0% (10)
Away
31.3% (307)
16.7% (12)
By Period
Mercer
Sanford
P1
37.7%
30.0%
P2
32.1%
0.0%
P3
37.7%
25.0%
Final 5 min
33.3%
25.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
35.4%
Sanford
36.0%▬
35.0%
22.7%