Scouting Report
Dawson Mercer holds a +27.0% FO% edge overall. Mercer wins 45.1% vs left-shot opponents — Sanford shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mercer 45.3% vs Sanford 46.0% (+27.0%)
Offensive zone
Mercer 62.5%
Defensive zone
Mercer 58.9%
Neutral zone
Mercer 52.6%
Result
Dawson Mercer favored at 58.0%
58.0%
42.0%
Mercer
Sanford
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mercer
Sanford
Edge
Even Strength
43.2% (148)
15.4% (13)
+27.8%
On even strength, Mercer has a +27.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sanford shoots left. Mercer is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (122).
Mercer shoots right. Sanford is 16.7% vs right-shot opponents (6).
Home / Away
Mercer
Sanford
Home
39.0% (82)
25.0% (4)
Away
45.8% (83)
11.1% (9)
By Period
Mercer
Sanford
P1
45.5%
25.0%
P2
44.0%
25.0%
P3
36.7%
0.0%
Final 5 min
36.6%
0.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
42.4%
Sanford
36.0%▬
35.0%
15.4%