Scouting Report
Dawson Mercer holds a +9.6% FO% edge overall. Mercer wins 45.8% vs left-shot opponents — Sanford shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mercer 46.3% vs Sanford 42.0% (+9.6%)
Offensive zone
Mercer 54.2%
Defensive zone
Sanford 55.4%
Neutral zone
Mercer 53.3%
Result
Dawson Mercer favored at 50.7%
50.7%
49.3%
Mercer
Sanford
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mercer
Sanford
Edge
Even Strength
43.6% (241)
34.7% (118)
+8.9%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
100.0% (1)
-50.0%
On power play, Sanford has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sanford shoots left. Mercer is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (201).
Mercer shoots right. Sanford is 38.3% vs right-shot opponents (47).
Home / Away
Mercer
Sanford
Home
41.7% (120)
32.9% (73)
Away
47.6% (145)
39.1% (46)
By Period
Mercer
Sanford
P1
44.6%
27.0%
P2
45.4%
34.9%
P3
45.2%
43.6%
Final 5 min
48.6%
37.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
44.9%
Sanford
36.0%▬
35.0%
35.3%