Scouting Report
Derek Grant holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayes on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Grant wins 46.9% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grant 48.8% vs Hayes 43.8% (+5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 80.8%
Defensive zone
Grant 61.2%
Neutral zone
Hayes 56.9%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 55.6%
44.4%
55.6%
Grant
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Grant
Hayes
Last 5: Grant 2-3 Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Grant
Hayes
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
1
2
Grant
Hayes
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grant
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (222)
42.7% (478)
+6.4%
Power Play
76.5% (17)
42.9% (98)
+33.6%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (181)
45.2% (31)
+0.1%
On power play, Grant has a +33.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Grant is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (275).
Grant shoots left. Hayes is 42.5% vs left-shot opponents (388).
Home / Away
Grant
Hayes
Home
49.8% (223)
43.5% (232)
Away
47.2% (197)
42.4% (375)
By Period
Grant
Hayes
P1
43.9%
40.1%
P2
49.7%
44.8%
P3
51.4%
42.4%
OT
50.0%
80.0%
Final 5 min
51.2%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
48.6%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
42.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2022 | 3 | 15:23 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 2 | 10:54 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 2 | 03:27 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 1 | 04:11 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 1 | 03:03 | Defensive | Derek Grant |