Scouting Report
Derek Grant holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Grant wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grant 54.3% vs Hayes 49.5% (+5.8%)
Offensive zone
Hayes 81.2%
Defensive zone
Grant 79.9%
Neutral zone
Hayes 54.9%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 52.1%
47.9%
52.1%
Grant
Hayes
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grant
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (308)
48.5% (557)
+8.0%
Power Play
65.3% (49)
53.3% (107)
+12.0%
Penalty Kill
48.5% (136)
58.3% (12)
-9.8%
On power play, Grant has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Grant is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (313).
Grant shoots left. Hayes is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (439).
Home / Away
Grant
Hayes
Home
60.3% (257)
50.8% (313)
Away
49.6% (236)
48.2% (363)
By Period
Grant
Hayes
P1
54.7%
52.3%
P2
54.0%
47.7%
P3
57.1%
48.4%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.9%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
55.2%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
49.4%