Scouting Report
Derek Grant holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Grant on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grant 52.2% vs Hayes 47.7% (+4.5%)
H2H factor
Grant leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Grant 53.6%
Defensive zone
Grant 86.8%
Neutral zone
Grant 80.0%
Result
Derek Grant favored at 75.0%
75.0%
25.0%
Grant
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
4
(13 meetings)
9
4
Grant
Hayes
Last 10: Grant 6-4 Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Grant
Hayes
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Grant
4
2
Grant
Hayes
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Grant
3
0
Grant
Hayes
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grant
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (2,864)
47.5% (6,708)
+6.2%
Power Play
61.7% (175)
51.7% (702)
+10.0%
Penalty Kill
46.0% (922)
45.3% (697)
+0.7%
On power play, Grant has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Grant is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,612).
Grant shoots left. Hayes is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,132).
Home / Away
Grant
Hayes
Home
54.3% (1,956)
48.1% (3,982)
Away
50.2% (2,005)
47.3% (4,125)
By Period
Grant
Hayes
P1
51.1%
47.5%
P2
51.5%
47.6%
P3
54.3%
47.9%
OT
35.7%
54.1%
Final 5 min
54.0%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
52.2%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2022 | 3 | 15:23 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 2 | 10:54 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 2 | 03:27 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 1 | 04:11 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 1 | 03:03 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Dec 17, 2019 | 2 | 07:08 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 19, 2017 | 1 | 02:15 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Jan 3, 2017 | 3 | 17:21 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Jan 3, 2017 | 3 | 09:52 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Jan 3, 2017 | 3 | 09:38 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Jan 3, 2017 | 1 | 07:04 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Oct 25, 2015 | 3 | 10:26 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Oct 25, 2015 | 3 | 07:54 | Defensive | Derek Grant |