Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Grant wins 46.9% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grant 48.8% vs Duchene 52.8% (-5.5%)
Offensive zone
Duchene 87.3%
Defensive zone
Grant 86.0%
Neutral zone
Grant 62.5%
Result
Derek Grant favored at 53.8%
53.8%
46.2%
Grant
Duchene
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grant
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (222)
46.9% (162)
+2.2%
Power Play
76.5% (17)
73.2% (56)
+3.3%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (181)
100.0% (2)
-54.7%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +54.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Grant is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (275).
Grant shoots left. Duchene is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (115).
Home / Away
Grant
Duchene
Home
49.8% (223)
58.4% (125)
Away
47.2% (197)
48.4% (95)
By Period
Grant
Duchene
P1
43.9%
56.9%
P2
49.7%
52.5%
P3
51.4%
51.9%
OT
50.0%
80.0%
Final 5 min
51.2%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
48.6%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
54.1%