Scouting Report
Derek Grant holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Grant wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grant 54.3% vs Duchene 52.1% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 88.9%
Defensive zone
Grant 82.0%
Neutral zone
Grant 54.1%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 88.9%
11.1%
88.9%
Grant
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Grant
Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
1
Grant
Duchene
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grant
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (308)
53.9% (193)
+2.6%
Power Play
65.3% (49)
49.2% (65)
+16.1%
Penalty Kill
48.5% (136)
100.0% (1)
-51.5%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +51.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Grant is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (313).
Grant shoots left. Duchene is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (154).
Home / Away
Grant
Duchene
Home
60.3% (257)
54.9% (113)
Away
49.6% (236)
51.4% (146)
By Period
Grant
Duchene
P1
54.7%
54.9%
P2
54.0%
52.7%
P3
57.1%
51.9%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.9%
60.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
55.2%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2023 | 1 | 07:40 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |