Scouting Report
Derek Grant holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grant 51.9% vs Backlund 48.2% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backlund 61.2%
Defensive zone
Backlund 59.4%
Neutral zone
Backlund 57.3%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 60.0%
40.0%
60.0%
Grant
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Grant
Backlund
Last 8: Grant 3-5 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
4
Grant
Backlund
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Grant
3
0
Grant
Backlund
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
1
Grant
Backlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grant
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (308)
47.3% (1,070)
+5.9%
Power Play
61.5% (13)
62.1% (140)
-0.6%
Penalty Kill
46.0% (63)
43.9% (269)
+2.1%
On even strength, Grant has a +5.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Grant is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (251).
Grant shoots left. Backlund is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (910).
Home / Away
Grant
Backlund
Home
50.9% (161)
49.1% (768)
Away
53.4% (223)
47.0% (711)
By Period
Grant
Backlund
P1
53.4%
46.8%
P2
47.9%
47.5%
P3
56.0%
49.3%
OT
100.0%
59.3%
Final 5 min
54.7%
45.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
52.3%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2017 | 3 | 12:52 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Jan 19, 2017 | 3 | 12:46 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 19, 2017 | 2 | 19:43 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Jan 19, 2017 | 1 | 01:31 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 21, 2016 | 3 | 18:56 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 21, 2016 | 3 | 17:11 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 21, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 21, 2016 | 2 | 16:57 | Defensive | Derek Grant |