Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Grant wins 46.9% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grant 48.8% vs Backlund 50.5% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backlund 81.7%
Defensive zone
Backlund 57.6%
Neutral zone
Backlund 61.8%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 68.4%
31.6%
68.4%
Grant
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Grant
Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Grant
1
0
Grant
Backlund
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Grant
2
0
Grant
Backlund
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grant
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (222)
51.5% (983)
-2.4%
Power Play
76.5% (17)
49.4% (87)
+27.1%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (181)
45.3% (159)
+0.0%
On power play, Grant has a +27.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Grant is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (275).
Grant shoots left. Backlund is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (742).
Home / Away
Grant
Backlund
Home
49.8% (223)
51.6% (653)
Away
47.2% (197)
49.3% (576)
By Period
Grant
Backlund
P1
43.9%
50.0%
P2
49.7%
49.8%
P3
51.4%
51.7%
OT
50.0%
53.3%
Final 5 min
51.2%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
48.6%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2022 | 2 | 00:19 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Feb 16, 2022 | 3 | 04:33 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Dec 3, 2021 | 2 | 10:20 | Neutral | Derek Grant |