Scouting Report
Derek Grant holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Grant wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grant 54.3% vs Backlund 50.8% (+4.3%)
H2H factor
Backlund leads 8-6 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Backlund 79.8%
Defensive zone
Grant 62.8%
Neutral zone
Backlund 54.1%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 56.0%
44.0%
56.0%
Grant
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
8
(14 meetings)
6
8
Grant
Backlund
Last 10: Grant 5-5 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
4
Grant
Backlund
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Grant
4
2
Grant
Backlund
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
2
Grant
Backlund
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grant
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (308)
51.9% (1,083)
+4.6%
Power Play
65.3% (49)
51.7% (120)
+13.6%
Penalty Kill
48.5% (136)
44.3% (183)
+4.2%
On power play, Grant has a +13.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Grant is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (313).
Grant shoots left. Backlund is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (824).
Home / Away
Grant
Backlund
Home
60.3% (257)
51.9% (673)
Away
49.6% (236)
49.9% (713)
By Period
Grant
Backlund
P1
54.7%
51.4%
P2
54.0%
50.5%
P3
57.1%
51.4%
OT
0.0%
35.0%
Final 5 min
51.9%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
55.2%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2023 | 3 | 14:01 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 2 | 10:03 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 1 | 05:57 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 1 | 05:45 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 3 | 11:48 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 3 | 02:27 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 2 | 19:19 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 2 | 09:28 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 2 | 03:36 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 10, 2023 | 3 | 19:58 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 10, 2023 | 3 | 07:31 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 10, 2023 | 2 | 05:53 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Mar 10, 2023 | 1 | 08:52 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |