Scouting Report
Derek Grant holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on offensive-zone draws (73% H2H, 22 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grant 52.2% vs Backlund 49.0% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Backlund leads 23-23 in 46 meetings
Offensive zone
Backlund 61.4%
Defensive zone
Grant 57.1%
Neutral zone
Backlund 52.0%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 53.3%
46.7%
53.3%
Grant
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
23
-
23
(46 meetings)
23
23
Grant
Backlund
Last 10: Grant 5-5 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
6
16
Grant
Backlund
22 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Grant
13
3
Grant
Backlund
16 total
Neutral Zone
Even
4
4
Grant
Backlund
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grant
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (2,864)
49.7% (13,410)
+4.0%
Power Play
61.7% (175)
51.6% (1,336)
+10.1%
Penalty Kill
46.0% (922)
44.0% (2,446)
+2.0%
On power play, Grant has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Grant is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,612).
Grant shoots left. Backlund is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (10,953).
Home / Away
Grant
Backlund
Home
54.3% (1,956)
49.7% (8,565)
Away
50.2% (2,005)
48.3% (8,632)
By Period
Grant
Backlund
P1
51.1%
48.5%
P2
51.5%
50.3%
P3
54.3%
48.4%
OT
35.7%
44.1%
Final 5 min
54.0%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
52.2%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2023 | 3 | 14:01 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 2 | 10:03 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 1 | 05:57 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 1 | 05:45 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 3 | 11:48 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 3 | 02:27 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 2 | 19:19 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 2 | 09:28 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 2 | 03:36 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 10, 2023 | 3 | 19:58 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 10, 2023 | 3 | 07:31 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 10, 2023 | 2 | 05:53 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Mar 10, 2023 | 1 | 08:52 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 6, 2022 | 2 | 00:19 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Feb 16, 2022 | 3 | 04:33 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Dec 3, 2021 | 2 | 10:20 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Feb 17, 2020 | 2 | 13:29 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 17, 2020 | 2 | 06:16 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 13, 2020 | 2 | 19:33 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |