Scouting Report
Reese Johnson holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grant 48.8% vs Johnson 50.3% (-1.9%)
Offensive zone
Grant 55.6%
Defensive zone
Johnson 52.3%
Neutral zone
Grant 56.2%
Result
Derek Grant favored at 53.2%
53.2%
46.8%
Grant
Johnson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grant
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (222)
51.0% (196)
-1.9%
Power Play
76.5% (17)
50.0% (2)
+26.5%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (181)
42.9% (14)
+2.4%
On power play, Grant has a +26.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Grant is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (145).
Grant shoots left. Johnson is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (142).
Home / Away
Grant
Johnson
Home
49.8% (223)
48.8% (125)
Away
47.2% (197)
52.9% (87)
By Period
Grant
Johnson
P1
43.9%
54.2%
P2
49.7%
44.2%
P3
51.4%
54.8%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
51.2%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
48.6%
Johnson
54.0%▲
51.0%
50.5%