Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.2% vs 51.7%). Grant wins 54.7% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grant 52.2% vs Johnson 51.5% (+0.5%)
Offensive zone
Grant 60.5%
Defensive zone
Grant 55.0%
Neutral zone
Grant 51.8%
Result
Derek Grant favored at 55.8%
55.8%
44.2%
Grant
Johnson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grant
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (2,864)
53.5% (434)
+0.2%
Power Play
61.7% (175)
80.0% (5)
-18.3%
Penalty Kill
46.0% (922)
40.7% (81)
+5.3%
On power play, Johnson has a +18.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Grant is 54.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,349).
Grant shoots left. Johnson is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (355).
Home / Away
Grant
Johnson
Home
54.3% (1,956)
50.8% (252)
Away
50.2% (2,005)
52.6% (268)
By Period
Grant
Johnson
P1
51.1%
52.1%
P2
51.5%
47.4%
P3
54.3%
56.4%
OT
35.7%
0.0%
Final 5 min
54.0%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
52.2%
Johnson
54.0%▲
51.0%
51.7%