Scouting Report
Derek Grant holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Grant wins 58.9% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grant 54.3% vs Johnson 52.1% (+2.1%)
Offensive zone
Johnson 58.9%
Defensive zone
Grant 51.4%
Neutral zone
Johnson 51.5%
Result
Reese Johnson favored at 53.0%
47.0%
53.0%
Grant
Johnson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grant
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (308)
55.4% (186)
+1.1%
Power Play
65.3% (49)
100.0% (3)
-34.7%
Penalty Kill
48.5% (136)
37.8% (37)
+10.7%
On power play, Johnson has a +34.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Grant is 58.9% vs right-shot opponents (180).
Grant shoots left. Johnson is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (154).
Home / Away
Grant
Johnson
Home
60.3% (257)
51.6% (95)
Away
49.6% (236)
54.2% (131)
By Period
Grant
Johnson
P1
54.7%
46.7%
P2
54.0%
50.5%
P3
57.1%
58.9%
Final 5 min
51.9%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
55.2%
Johnson
54.0%▲
51.0%
53.1%