Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.2% vs 55.8%). Grant wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grant 54.3% vs O'Reilly 55.2% (-0.6%)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 75.9%
Defensive zone
Grant 62.8%
Neutral zone
Grant 57.9%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 51.7%
48.3%
51.7%
Grant
O'Reilly
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grant
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (308)
56.1% (690)
+0.4%
Power Play
65.3% (49)
64.6% (96)
+0.7%
Penalty Kill
48.5% (136)
45.9% (109)
+2.6%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Grant is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (313).
Grant shoots left. O'Reilly is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (603).
Home / Away
Grant
O'Reilly
Home
60.3% (257)
58.3% (408)
Away
49.6% (236)
53.6% (487)
By Period
Grant
O'Reilly
P1
54.7%
57.7%
P2
54.0%
54.8%
P3
57.1%
55.2%
OT
0.0%
45.5%
Final 5 min
51.9%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
55.2%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
55.8%