Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Seguin on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grant 48.8% vs Seguin 55.4% (-7.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Seguin 56.2%
Defensive zone
Grant 76.9%
Neutral zone
Grant 63.9%
Result
Derek Grant favored at 60.3%
60.3%
39.7%
Grant
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Grant
Seguin
Last 6: Grant 2-4 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
1
2
Grant
Seguin
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
1
2
Grant
Seguin
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grant
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (222)
56.5% (712)
-7.4%
Power Play
76.5% (17)
59.7% (67)
+16.8%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (181)
44.9% (49)
+0.4%
On power play, Grant has a +16.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Grant is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (145).
Grant shoots left. Seguin is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (604).
Home / Away
Grant
Seguin
Home
49.8% (223)
58.5% (402)
Away
47.2% (197)
53.8% (426)
By Period
Grant
Seguin
P1
43.9%
58.4%
P2
49.7%
54.7%
P3
51.4%
54.1%
OT
50.0%
72.7%
Final 5 min
51.2%
57.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
48.6%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2022 | 3 | 02:54 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 29, 2022 | 2 | 16:36 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 29, 2022 | 2 | 09:23 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Mar 29, 2022 | 2 | 04:27 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 29, 2022 | 1 | 10:57 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 29, 2022 | 1 | 10:46 | Defensive | Derek Grant |