Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Seguin on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 10 meetings). Grant wins 54.7% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grant 52.2% vs Seguin 53.6% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Seguin leads 11-7 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Seguin 65.7%
Defensive zone
Grant 81.4%
Neutral zone
Grant 59.7%
Result
Derek Grant favored at 55.2%
55.2%
44.8%
Grant
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
11
(18 meetings)
7
11
Grant
Seguin
Last 10: Grant 4-6 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
2
8
Grant
Seguin
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Grant
5
3
Grant
Seguin
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grant
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (2,864)
53.7% (8,071)
+0.0%
Power Play
61.7% (175)
55.9% (810)
+5.8%
Penalty Kill
46.0% (922)
49.3% (762)
-3.3%
On power play, Grant has a +5.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Grant is 54.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,349).
Grant shoots left. Seguin is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (6,798).
Home / Away
Grant
Seguin
Home
54.3% (1,956)
55.9% (4,759)
Away
50.2% (2,005)
51.4% (4,885)
By Period
Grant
Seguin
P1
51.1%
52.8%
P2
51.5%
53.3%
P3
54.3%
54.7%
OT
35.7%
54.7%
Final 5 min
54.0%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
52.2%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 2022 | 2 | 18:43 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 2 | 10:51 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 1 | 16:42 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 1 | 00:28 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 29, 2022 | 3 | 02:54 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 29, 2022 | 2 | 16:36 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 29, 2022 | 2 | 09:23 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Mar 29, 2022 | 2 | 04:27 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 29, 2022 | 1 | 10:57 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 29, 2022 | 1 | 10:46 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Oct 24, 2019 | 3 | 15:29 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 24, 2019 | 3 | 15:25 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 24, 2019 | 2 | 04:45 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Apr 6, 2018 | 3 | 19:10 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Apr 6, 2018 | 3 | 08:31 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Feb 21, 2018 | 3 | 04:50 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 21, 2018 | 3 | 02:11 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Feb 21, 2018 | 3 | 02:01 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |