Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.2% vs 54.7%). Look for Seguin on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Grant wins 58.9% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grant 54.3% vs Seguin 54.2% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Seguin 74.8%
Defensive zone
Grant 68.9%
Neutral zone
Grant 60.5%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 63.9%
36.1%
63.9%
Grant
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Grant
Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
1
2
Grant
Seguin
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Grant
1
0
Grant
Seguin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grant
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (308)
55.0% (713)
+1.5%
Power Play
65.3% (49)
56.7% (104)
+8.6%
Penalty Kill
48.5% (136)
47.2% (53)
+1.3%
On power play, Grant has a +8.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Grant is 58.9% vs right-shot opponents (180).
Grant shoots left. Seguin is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (596).
Home / Away
Grant
Seguin
Home
60.3% (257)
56.2% (443)
Away
49.6% (236)
53.2% (427)
By Period
Grant
Seguin
P1
54.7%
54.2%
P2
54.0%
52.9%
P3
57.1%
57.1%
OT
0.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
51.9%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
55.2%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 2022 | 2 | 18:43 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 2 | 10:51 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 1 | 16:42 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 1 | 00:28 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |