Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Ryan on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 53.3% vs Ryan 55.9% (-3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barkov 53.6%
Defensive zone
Barkov 85.3%
Neutral zone
Barkov 61.7%
Result
Aleksander Barkov favored at 72.6%
72.6%
27.4%
Barkov
Ryan
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Barkov
Ryan
Last 5: Barkov 1-4 Ryan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
0
2
Barkov
Ryan
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
1
2
Barkov
Ryan
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Ryan
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (1,326)
56.5% (816)
-1.9%
Power Play
51.4% (222)
55.2% (105)
-3.8%
Penalty Kill
47.0% (149)
63.2% (19)
-16.2%
On penalty kill, Ryan has a +16.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ryan shoots right. Barkov is 50.3% vs right-shot opponents (618).
Barkov shoots left. Ryan is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (642).
Home / Away
Barkov
Ryan
Home
55.3% (816)
56.7% (466)
Away
51.9% (881)
56.3% (474)
By Period
Barkov
Ryan
P1
55.7%
55.4%
P2
53.7%
58.1%
P3
51.3%
55.8%
OT
52.4%
66.7%
Final 5 min
52.2%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
53.5%
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
56.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2, 2017 | 3 | 19:58 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 2, 2017 | 3 | 19:38 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Dec 2, 2017 | 3 | 19:36 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 2, 2017 | 3 | 10:39 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 7, 2017 | 2 | 17:01 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |