Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +11.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Ryan on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Wennberg wins 41.3% vs right-shot opponents — Ryan shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wennberg 45.8% vs Ryan 55.9% (-11.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wennberg 85.5%
Defensive zone
Wennberg 77.0%
Neutral zone
Wennberg 84.6%
Result
Alexander Wennberg favored at 83.3%
83.3%
16.7%
Wennberg
Ryan
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Wennberg
Ryan
Last 9: Wennberg 2-7 Ryan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Wennberg
Ryan
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
0
2
Wennberg
Ryan
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ryan
0
3
Wennberg
Ryan
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wennberg
Ryan
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (642)
56.5% (816)
-11.0%
Power Play
47.3% (91)
55.2% (105)
-7.9%
Penalty Kill
36.6% (41)
63.2% (19)
-26.6%
On penalty kill, Ryan has a +26.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ryan shoots right. Wennberg is 41.3% vs right-shot opponents (271).
Wennberg shoots left. Ryan is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (642).
Home / Away
Wennberg
Ryan
Home
45.3% (380)
56.7% (466)
Away
45.2% (394)
56.3% (474)
By Period
Wennberg
Ryan
P1
47.2%
55.4%
P2
42.5%
58.1%
P3
45.9%
55.8%
OT
50.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
45.4%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wennberg
50.0%▼
51.5%
45.2%
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
56.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2017 | 3 | 10:40 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 16, 2017 | 2 | 18:18 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 16, 2017 | 2 | 12:12 | Offensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Dec 16, 2017 | 1 | 04:43 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 10, 2017 | 3 | 00:32 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 10, 2017 | 2 | 17:53 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Oct 10, 2017 | 2 | 12:35 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Oct 10, 2017 | 1 | 08:22 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Oct 10, 2017 | 1 | 05:05 | Offensive | Alexander Wennberg |