Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Ryan on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Jenner wins 55.0% vs right-shot opponents — Ryan shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 54.7% vs Ryan 52.0% (+2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ryan 65.8%
Defensive zone
Ryan 66.6%
Neutral zone
Ryan 69.1%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 66.9%
33.1%
66.9%
Jenner
Ryan
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Jenner
Ryan
Last 5: Jenner 1-4 Ryan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
1
0
Jenner
Ryan
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
0
3
Jenner
Ryan
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ryan
0
1
Jenner
Ryan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Ryan
Edge
Even Strength
57.3% (861)
54.1% (603)
+3.2%
Power Play
52.6% (135)
40.9% (44)
+11.7%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (170)
45.9% (85)
+0.6%
On power play, Jenner has a +11.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ryan shoots right. Jenner is 55.0% vs right-shot opponents (409).
Jenner shoots left. Ryan is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (511).
Home / Away
Jenner
Ryan
Home
54.8% (586)
52.5% (341)
Away
55.5% (580)
52.2% (391)
By Period
Jenner
Ryan
P1
57.3%
56.0%
P2
52.5%
48.1%
P3
55.9%
52.8%
OT
54.5%
33.3%
Final 5 min
53.2%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
55.1%
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2020 | 3 | 12:12 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 4, 2020 | 2 | 12:57 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 3 | 14:18 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 3 | 03:40 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 2 | 07:32 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |