Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Ryan on offensive-zone draws (77% H2H, 22 meetings). Sissons wins 53.4% vs right-shot opponents — Ryan shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sissons 53.8% vs Ryan 55.2% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Ryan leads 27-16 in 43 meetings
Offensive zone
Ryan 62.6%
Defensive zone
Sissons 75.9%
Neutral zone
Ryan 51.9%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 50.9%
49.1%
50.9%
Sissons
Ryan
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
27
(43 meetings)
16
27
Sissons
Ryan
Last 10: Sissons 4-6 Ryan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
5
17
Sissons
Ryan
22 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sissons
6
4
Sissons
Ryan
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ryan
5
6
Sissons
Ryan
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sissons
Ryan
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (6,070)
56.6% (4,102)
-1.2%
Power Play
55.4% (455)
53.2% (342)
+2.2%
Penalty Kill
48.5% (1,889)
47.8% (649)
+0.7%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ryan shoots right. Sissons is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (2,453).
Sissons shoots right. Ryan is 56.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,417).
Home / Away
Sissons
Ryan
Home
54.1% (4,241)
56.2% (2,559)
Away
53.7% (4,173)
54.4% (2,534)
By Period
Sissons
Ryan
P1
53.8%
55.1%
P2
53.2%
54.7%
P3
54.7%
56.0%
OT
49.1%
58.3%
Final 5 min
53.9%
52.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sissons
60.0%▬
59.0%
53.9%
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2024 | 1 | 03:59 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 3 | 19:24 | Neutral | Colton Sissons |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 3 | 08:28 | Offensive | Colton Sissons |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 3 | 01:51 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 2 | 17:18 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 2 | 13:26 | Offensive | Colton Sissons |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 1 | 16:45 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Apr 14, 2022 | 3 | 01:06 | Offensive | Colton Sissons |
| Apr 14, 2022 | 1 | 11:17 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 27, 2022 | 3 | 18:48 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 3, 2021 | 3 | 07:06 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 3, 2021 | 1 | 19:28 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Feb 6, 2020 | 3 | 12:30 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Feb 6, 2020 | 3 | 08:44 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Feb 6, 2020 | 3 | 05:32 | Offensive | Colton Sissons |
| Feb 6, 2020 | 3 | 02:51 | Offensive | Colton Sissons |
| Feb 6, 2020 | 2 | 16:35 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Feb 6, 2020 | 2 | 11:06 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Feb 6, 2020 | 2 | 02:32 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Feb 6, 2020 | 1 | 16:54 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |