Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +17.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Ryan on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Ryan wins 57.5% vs left-shot opponents — Pettersson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 57.2% vs Pettersson 42.2% (+17.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ryan 60.5%
Defensive zone
Ryan 97.2%
Neutral zone
Ryan 95.0%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 87.6%
87.6%
12.4%
Ryan
Pettersson
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Ryan
Pettersson
Last 9: Ryan 7-2 Pettersson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
2
0
Ryan
Pettersson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
1
0
Ryan
Pettersson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ryan
4
2
Ryan
Pettersson
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Pettersson
Edge
Even Strength
59.1% (594)
41.3% (608)
+17.8%
Power Play
49.1% (55)
35.3% (17)
+13.8%
Penalty Kill
57.9% (107)
0.0% (2)
+57.9%
On penalty kill, Ryan has a +57.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pettersson shoots left. Ryan is 57.5% vs left-shot opponents (544).
Ryan shoots right. Pettersson is 38.5% vs right-shot opponents (187).
Home / Away
Ryan
Pettersson
Home
57.0% (398)
39.7% (320)
Away
59.5% (358)
42.3% (307)
By Period
Ryan
Pettersson
P1
56.2%
36.9%
P2
56.9%
43.2%
P3
61.1%
43.6%
Final 5 min
56.1%
46.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
58.2%
Pettersson
50.0%▬
50.5%
41.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2019 | 3 | 02:04 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Feb 9, 2019 | 1 | 06:39 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Oct 6, 2018 | 3 | 15:46 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Oct 6, 2018 | 3 | 09:27 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 6, 2018 | 1 | 13:25 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Oct 6, 2018 | 1 | 13:15 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 3, 2018 | 3 | 06:00 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Oct 3, 2018 | 1 | 07:43 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Oct 3, 2018 | 1 | 01:42 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |