Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 50.0% vs Pettersson 44.8% (+5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pettersson 61.8%
Defensive zone
Ryan 80.0%
Neutral zone
Ryan 67.2%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 66.1%
66.1%
33.9%
Ryan
Pettersson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Ryan
Pettersson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
0
1
Ryan
Pettersson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
2
0
Ryan
Pettersson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Pettersson
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (344)
44.1% (912)
+6.8%
Power Play
75.0% (4)
61.5% (39)
+13.5%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (86)
34.8% (46)
+10.5%
On power play, Ryan has a +13.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pettersson shoots left. Ryan is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (336).
Ryan shoots right. Pettersson is 38.0% vs right-shot opponents (276).
Home / Away
Ryan
Pettersson
Home
53.7% (214)
45.0% (489)
Away
46.4% (220)
43.7% (508)
By Period
Ryan
Pettersson
P1
45.0%
46.0%
P2
50.0%
45.7%
P3
54.6%
42.2%
Final 5 min
45.3%
46.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
50.0%
Pettersson
50.0%▬
50.5%
44.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2023 | 3 | 09:55 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 1 | 10:22 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 1 | 01:26 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |