Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Ryan on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 10 meetings). Ryan wins 54.7% vs left-shot opponents — Pettersson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 55.2% vs Pettersson 46.0% (+9.3%)
H2H factor
Ryan leads 19-5 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Ryan 79.7%
Defensive zone
Ryan 96.8%
Neutral zone
Ryan 96.0%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 91.6%
91.6%
8.4%
Ryan
Pettersson
Head-to-Head Record
19
-
5
(24 meetings)
19
5
Ryan
Pettersson
Last 10: Ryan 7-3 Pettersson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
4
3
Ryan
Pettersson
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
10
0
Ryan
Pettersson
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ryan
5
2
Ryan
Pettersson
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Pettersson
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (4,102)
45.3% (4,569)
+11.3%
Power Play
53.2% (342)
54.6% (540)
-1.4%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (649)
38.7% (238)
+9.1%
On even strength, Ryan has a +11.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pettersson shoots left. Ryan is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (3,676).
Ryan shoots right. Pettersson is 46.1% vs right-shot opponents (1,755).
Home / Away
Ryan
Pettersson
Home
56.2% (2,559)
46.8% (2,734)
Away
54.4% (2,534)
45.1% (2,613)
By Period
Ryan
Pettersson
P1
55.1%
44.7%
P2
54.7%
46.0%
P3
56.0%
47.4%
OT
58.3%
39.7%
Final 5 min
52.5%
46.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.3%
Pettersson
50.0%▬
50.5%
46.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2023 | 3 | 07:10 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 2 | 06:21 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 2 | 16:22 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 1 | 18:39 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 3 | 09:55 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 1 | 10:22 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 1 | 01:26 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 2 | 19:04 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 3 | 15:13 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 3 | 13:16 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 3 | 02:01 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 2 | 13:29 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Oct 13, 2021 | 2 | 12:47 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Oct 13, 2021 | 2 | 06:30 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Feb 8, 2020 | 1 | 01:42 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Feb 9, 2019 | 3 | 02:04 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Feb 9, 2019 | 1 | 06:39 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Oct 6, 2018 | 3 | 15:46 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Oct 6, 2018 | 3 | 09:27 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 6, 2018 | 1 | 13:25 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |