Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Ryan wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Pettersson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 54.6% vs Pettersson 50.7% (+4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pettersson 64.8%
Defensive zone
Ryan 91.5%
Neutral zone
Ryan 76.0%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 73.5%
73.5%
26.5%
Ryan
Pettersson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Ryan
Pettersson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
0
1
Ryan
Pettersson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
2
0
Ryan
Pettersson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ryan
1
0
Ryan
Pettersson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Pettersson
Edge
Even Strength
60.8% (263)
50.4% (698)
+10.4%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
63.2% (57)
+36.8%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (145)
40.9% (44)
+5.3%
On power play, Ryan has a +36.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pettersson shoots left. Ryan is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (341).
Ryan shoots right. Pettersson is 54.9% vs right-shot opponents (255).
Home / Away
Ryan
Pettersson
Home
56.7% (201)
50.7% (420)
Away
54.8% (208)
50.9% (379)
By Period
Ryan
Pettersson
P1
56.7%
48.0%
P2
56.8%
47.6%
P3
53.7%
57.5%
Final 5 min
56.1%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.7%
Pettersson
50.0%▬
50.5%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2023 | 3 | 07:10 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 2 | 06:21 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 2 | 16:22 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 1 | 18:39 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |