Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Ryan wins 55.6% vs right-shot opponents — Evans shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 54.9% vs Evans 49.8% (+6.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ryan 62.8%
Defensive zone
Ryan 65.7%
Neutral zone
Ryan 65.4%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 62.8%
62.8%
37.2%
Ryan
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Ryan
Evans
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
1
0
Ryan
Evans
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
60.2% (387)
51.3% (739)
+8.9%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
53.3% (15)
-24.7%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (118)
43.0% (172)
+0.2%
On power play, Evans has a +24.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Ryan is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (142).
Ryan shoots right. Evans is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (259).
Home / Away
Ryan
Evans
Home
56.7% (254)
52.1% (503)
Away
55.0% (258)
47.0% (423)
By Period
Ryan
Evans
P1
56.9%
50.5%
P2
51.7%
47.7%
P3
59.2%
51.3%
OT
0.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
53.6%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.9%
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
49.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2022 | 3 | 18:44 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |