Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Ryan wins 63.2% vs right-shot opponents — Evans shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 54.6% vs Evans 52.0% (+3.5%)
Offensive zone
Evans 52.2%
Defensive zone
Ryan 56.0%
Neutral zone
Ryan 56.8%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 53.5%
53.5%
46.5%
Ryan
Evans
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
60.8% (263)
54.4% (807)
+6.4%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
55.0% (20)
+45.0%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (145)
46.1% (310)
+0.1%
On power play, Ryan has a +45.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Ryan is 63.2% vs right-shot opponents (68).
Ryan shoots right. Evans is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (282).
Home / Away
Ryan
Evans
Home
56.7% (201)
53.7% (581)
Away
54.8% (208)
50.5% (556)
By Period
Ryan
Evans
P1
56.7%
54.6%
P2
56.8%
50.0%
P3
53.7%
52.3%
Final 5 min
56.1%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.7%
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.2%