Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Ryan wins 57.1% vs right-shot opponents — Evans shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 57.4% vs Evans 52.6% (+7.5%)
Offensive zone
Ryan 67.6%
Defensive zone
Evans 68.5%
Neutral zone
Ryan 51.0%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 50.1%
50.1%
49.9%
Ryan
Evans
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
61.4% (220)
54.4% (824)
+7.0%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
66.7% (9)
+33.3%
Penalty Kill
51.7% (29)
48.1% (289)
+3.6%
On power play, Ryan has a +33.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Ryan is 57.1% vs right-shot opponents (56).
Ryan shoots right. Evans is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (284).
Home / Away
Ryan
Evans
Home
64.2% (137)
55.1% (541)
Away
55.8% (113)
50.8% (581)
By Period
Ryan
Evans
P1
58.9%
51.8%
P2
62.8%
53.3%
P3
59.3%
53.8%
Final 5 min
51.6%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
60.4%
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.9%