Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Ryan wins 55.6% vs right-shot opponents — Carter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 54.9% vs Carter 56.4% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 53.9%
Defensive zone
Ryan 65.6%
Neutral zone
Ryan 59.2%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 52.6%
52.6%
47.4%
Ryan
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Ryan
Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
0
2
Ryan
Carter
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
1
0
Ryan
Carter
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
60.2% (387)
57.9% (885)
+2.3%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
61.7% (133)
-33.1%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (118)
45.4% (119)
-2.2%
On power play, Carter has a +33.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Ryan is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (142).
Ryan shoots right. Carter is 57.4% vs right-shot opponents (357).
Home / Away
Ryan
Carter
Home
56.7% (254)
58.2% (543)
Away
55.0% (258)
55.9% (594)
By Period
Ryan
Carter
P1
56.9%
57.5%
P2
51.7%
57.1%
P3
59.2%
55.8%
OT
0.0%
68.2%
Final 5 min
53.6%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.9%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
57.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2022 | 1 | 04:45 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 1, 2021 | 2 | 11:09 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 1, 2021 | 1 | 13:33 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |